Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) stock forecast & analysis
105.90
NasdaqGM · USDDelayed by 15 minutes
Down: -16.64, -13.6%
1 analysis
Latest analysis: · verdict locked
- Open
- 117.44
- Previous close
- 122.54
- Day range
- 104.88 – 119.91
- 52-week range
- 18.50 – 233.67
- Volume (shares)
- 19.14M
- Net assets
- Not available
- Expense ratio
- Not available
- Shares outstanding
- 84.91M
- P/E ratio
- Not available
- Dividend yield
- 0.00%
- Beta
- 3.84
- Market cap
- 8.99B
Market Scanner’s AI analysis of Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI), updated October 2026: Applied Optoelectronics' recent reports examined strong revenue growth against persistent net losses and a bearish technical trend.
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Summary
Applied Optoelectronics' recent reports examined strong revenue growth against persistent net losses and a bearish technical trend.
Recent analyses for Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) covered significant year-over-year quarterly revenue growth, contrasting with ongoing net losses and negative operating margins. The market analysis noted that the current stock price is trading below key moving averages, suggesting a bearish trend, while the RSI indicates neutral momentum. News analysis highlighted a recent sector-wide downturn followed by a rebound driven by strong demand indicators for optical parts.
AAOI news & sentiment
News reports noted a sector-wide downturn followed by a rebound, driven by strong demand indicators for optical parts. Social media discussion centered on the stock's recent significant gains and whether it was becoming overvalued.
AAOI technical picture
The stock price traded below its 50-day and 200-day Simple Moving Averages, indicating a bearish trend. Short-term momentum was also bearish, though RSI readings suggested neutral momentum and MFI showed mild buying pressure.
Fundamentals
Applied Optoelectronics reported strong year-over-year quarterly revenue growth, alongside persistent net losses and negative operating margins. The company has experienced net losses in all reported annual periods. The trailing twelve months revenue was $595.97 million, with a negative profit margin of -9.6%.
Factors discussed — upside
- 86.4% year-over-year quarterly revenue growth
- Positive MACD and MACD histogram values
- Overnight rise following CEO statement on optical parts being sold out through early 2029
- 17% gain over the past month
- Mild buying pressure indicated by MFI
Factors discussed — risks
- Negative profit margin of -9.6% TTM
- Negative operating margin of -10.6% TTM
- Net losses in all reported annual periods
- Current price below 50-day and 200-day SMAs
- Sector-wide downturn with AAOI dropping 9%
- Revenue growth
- Profitability concerns
- Technical indicators
- Sector demand
Summary updated .
AAOI technical indicators
Common technical indicators for AAOI, computed from its daily closing prices.
| Indicator | Value | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| 50-day simple moving average | 113.50 | Price below |
| 10-day exponential moving average | 112.33 | Price below |
| Relative strength index (14-day) | 47.47 | Neutral |
| MACD line (12/26/9) | 1.6609 | Above its signal line |
| Bollinger bands (20-day, 2σ) | 86.80 – 124.73 | Price inside the bands |
Analyses
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Frequently asked questions
- What is the bull case for Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.?
- The bull case for Applied Optoelectronics centers on its substantial 86.4% year-over-year quarterly revenue growth and positive MACD indicators. The company also experienced an overnight rise following a statement about optical parts being sold out through early 2029, with mild buying pressure noted by the MFI.
- What are the risks for Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.?
- Risks for Applied Optoelectronics include a negative profit margin of -9.6% and a negative operating margin of -10.6% on a trailing twelve months basis, alongside net losses in all reported annual periods. The current stock price is trading below its 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating a bearish trend, and the sector recently experienced a downturn.
- Is Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. bullish or bearish?
- Recent AI analyses of Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. examined factors on both sides. Discussed upside: The bull case for Applied Optoelectronics centers on its substantial 86.4% year-over-year quarterly revenue growth and positive MACD indicators. The company also experienced an overnight rise following a statement about optical parts being sold out through early 2029, with mild buying pressure noted by the MFI. Discussed risks: Risks for Applied Optoelectronics include a negative profit margin of -9.6% and a negative operating margin of -10.6% on a trailing twelve months basis, alongside net losses in all reported annual periods. The current stock price is trading below its 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating a bearish trend, and the sector recently experienced a downturn. These are descriptive observations, not a recommendation.
- What is the latest sentiment on Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.?
- News reports noted a sector-wide downturn followed by a rebound, driven by strong demand indicators for optical parts. Social media discussion centered on the stock's recent significant gains and whether it was becoming overvalued.
- How does Market Scanner analyse Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.?
- Every analysis of Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. runs the same five stages: four analysts read the market independently, a bull and a bear debate what they found, one agent turns the ruling into a position, three risk perspectives stress-test it, and a final agent writes the report. Market Scanner publishes what each stage does, with figures computed from the analyses on the platform rather than written in by hand.Read the methodology
What is the bull case for Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.?
The bull case for Applied Optoelectronics centers on its substantial 86.4% year-over-year quarterly revenue growth and positive MACD indicators. The company also experienced an overnight rise following a statement about optical parts being sold out through early 2029, with mild buying pressure noted by the MFI.
What are the risks for Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.?
Risks for Applied Optoelectronics include a negative profit margin of -9.6% and a negative operating margin of -10.6% on a trailing twelve months basis, alongside net losses in all reported annual periods. The current stock price is trading below its 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating a bearish trend, and the sector recently experienced a downturn.
Is Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. bullish or bearish?
Recent AI analyses of Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. examined factors on both sides. Discussed upside: The bull case for Applied Optoelectronics centers on its substantial 86.4% year-over-year quarterly revenue growth and positive MACD indicators. The company also experienced an overnight rise following a statement about optical parts being sold out through early 2029, with mild buying pressure noted by the MFI. Discussed risks: Risks for Applied Optoelectronics include a negative profit margin of -9.6% and a negative operating margin of -10.6% on a trailing twelve months basis, alongside net losses in all reported annual periods. The current stock price is trading below its 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating a bearish trend, and the sector recently experienced a downturn. These are descriptive observations, not a recommendation.
What is the latest sentiment on Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.?
News reports noted a sector-wide downturn followed by a rebound, driven by strong demand indicators for optical parts. Social media discussion centered on the stock's recent significant gains and whether it was becoming overvalued.
How does Market Scanner analyse Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.?
Every analysis of Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. runs the same five stages: four analysts read the market independently, a bull and a bear debate what they found, one agent turns the ruling into a position, three risk perspectives stress-test it, and a final agent writes the report. Market Scanner publishes what each stage does, with figures computed from the analyses on the platform rather than written in by hand.
Read the methodology- Bundles used
- gemini-low-v2
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