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Mattel, Inc. (MAT) stock forecast & analysis

15.04

NasdaqGS · USD

Up: +2.38, +18.8%

15.10Up: +0.06, +0.4%

1 analysis

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Price history for MAT.US from 09-02 08:00 to 10-01 23:59 with 1 analysis run marked; public runs are shown as stance-colored dots (Bullish, Bearish, or Neutral) and gated runs as a lock icon (sign in to read). Each marker is a link to sign in.BullishBearishNeutralLocked · sign in to read

Open
12.60
Previous close
12.66
Day range
12.40 – 17.22
52-week range
12.40 – 22.48
Volume (shares)
35.66M
Net assets
Not available
Expense ratio
Not available
Shares outstanding
285.70M
P/E ratio
11.22
Dividend yield
Not available
Beta
0.73
Market cap
4.30B
Market Scanner’s AI analysis of Mattel, Inc. (MAT), updated October 2026: Authentic Brands Group takeover interest drove Mattel's stock surge, overshadowing mixed consumer sector performance.

This page is the public summary. A signed-in user can run a fresh five-stage AI analysis of Mattel, Inc. (MAT) and read the full verdict with the bull and bear debate behind it — using Market Scanner tokens, or their own OpenAI or Anthropic key.

Summary

Authentic Brands Group takeover interest drove Mattel's stock surge, overshadowing mixed consumer sector performance.

Recent analyses covered Mattel's stock performance, noting a positive short-term trend indicated by its 50-day SMA and EMA, while the long-term trend remained bearish relative to the 200-day SMA. The company reported a 10.5% year-over-year quarterly revenue growth and a 7.8% profit margin, though net income decreased in the latest quarter. News of potential takeover interest from Authentic Brands Group was a significant catalyst, causing the stock to end sharply higher.

MAT news & sentiment

News reports highlighted significant positive movement for Mattel following takeover interest, causing the stock to surge sharply. Social media discussions were not covered in the provided notes.

MAT technical picture

The stock price traded above its 50-day SMA and 10-day EMA, indicating positive short-to-medium term trends. Long-term trend analysis showed the price below its 200-day SMA. Momentum indicators like RSI and MFI suggested a strong uptrend with positive buying pressure, though MACD readings indicated bearish momentum.

Fundamentals

Mattel's recent financial reports showed year-over-year quarterly revenue growth alongside a decrease in net income for the latest quarter. The company's profit and operating margins were noted, as were its return on equity and liquidity ratios. Valuation metrics such as P/E and forward P/E ratios were also covered, alongside the current stock price relative to its 52-week range.

Factors discussed — upside

  • Stock price above 50-day SMA and 10-day EMA indicating positive short-to-medium term trend
  • RSI above 50 suggesting strong uptrend
  • MFI above 50 indicating positive buying pressure
  • Year-over-year quarterly revenue growth of 10.5%
  • Reported takeover interest from Authentic Brands Group

Factors discussed — risks

  • Stock price below 200-day SMA suggesting bearish long-term trend
  • MACD below zero indicating bearish momentum
  • Net income decreased in the latest quarter
  • Technical indicators
  • Financial performance
  • Merger and acquisition interest
  • Valuation metrics

Summary updated .

MAT technical indicators

Common technical indicators for MAT, computed from its daily closing prices.

IndicatorValueReading
50-day simple moving average14.32Price below
10-day exponential moving average13.21Price below
Relative strength index (14-day)30.82Neutral
MACD line (12/26/9)-0.3924Below its signal line
Bollinger bands (20-day, 2σ)12.51 – 14.63Price inside the bands

Analyses

Recent MAT.US analyses are locked — sign in to read them or generate a fresh one.

CaseDescriptionDate

Frequently asked questions

What is the bull case for Mattel, Inc.?
The bull case for Mattel centers on positive short-to-medium term technical trends, including a stock price above its 50-day SMA and 10-day EMA, alongside strong buying pressure indicated by the MFI. The company has demonstrated year-over-year quarterly revenue growth of 10.5%, and recent reports highlighted significant takeover interest from Authentic Brands Group, which drove the stock price higher.
What are the risks for Mattel, Inc.?
Risks for Mattel include a long-term bearish technical trend, as indicated by the stock price trading below its 200-day SMA, and bearish momentum suggested by the MACD. The company also experienced a decrease in net income in the latest reported quarter.
Is Mattel, Inc. bullish or bearish?
Recent AI analyses of Mattel, Inc. examined factors on both sides. Discussed upside: The bull case for Mattel centers on positive short-to-medium term technical trends, including a stock price above its 50-day SMA and 10-day EMA, alongside strong buying pressure indicated by the MFI. The company has demonstrated year-over-year quarterly revenue growth of 10.5%, and recent reports highlighted significant takeover interest from Authentic Brands Group, which drove the stock price higher. Discussed risks: Risks for Mattel include a long-term bearish technical trend, as indicated by the stock price trading below its 200-day SMA, and bearish momentum suggested by the MACD. The company also experienced a decrease in net income in the latest reported quarter. These are descriptive observations, not a recommendation.
What is the latest sentiment on Mattel, Inc.?
News reports highlighted significant positive movement for Mattel following takeover interest, causing the stock to surge sharply. Social media discussions were not covered in the provided notes.
How does Market Scanner analyse Mattel, Inc.?
Every analysis of Mattel, Inc. runs the same five stages: four analysts read the market independently, a bull and a bear debate what they found, one agent turns the ruling into a position, three risk perspectives stress-test it, and a final agent writes the report. Market Scanner publishes what each stage does, with figures computed from the analyses on the platform rather than written in by hand.Read the methodology

Bundles used
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