Semtech Corporation (SMTC) stock forecast & analysis
136.73
NasdaqGS · USDDelayed by 15 minutes
Down: -7.48, -5.2%
134.00Down: -2.73, -2.0%
1 analysis
Latest analysis: · verdict locked
- Open
- 145.77
- Previous close
- 144.21
- Day range
- 135.85 – 146.66
- 52-week range
- 60.28 – 201.99
- Volume (shares)
- 4.69M
- Net assets
- Not available
- Expense ratio
- Not available
- Shares outstanding
- 93.33M
- P/E ratio
- 90.55
- Dividend yield
- 0.00%
- Beta
- 2.42
- Market cap
- 12.76B
Market Scanner’s AI analysis of Semtech Corporation (SMTC), updated October 2026: Semtech's recent coverage focused on AI-driven data center growth and a Q3 guidance raise, alongside mixed technical indicators.
This page is the public summary. A signed-in user can run a fresh five-stage AI analysis of Semtech Corporation (SMTC) and read the full verdict with the bull and bear debate behind it — using Market Scanner tokens, or their own OpenAI or Anthropic key.
Summary
Semtech's recent coverage focused on AI-driven data center growth and a Q3 guidance raise, alongside mixed technical indicators.
Recent analyses examined Semtech Corporation's (SMTC) financial performance, highlighting a significant year-over-year quarterly revenue growth of 32.7% and a positive trailing twelve months (TTM) profit margin of 13.1%. The company's strategic focus on data center growth and AI infrastructure spending was a key theme, supported by a recent Q3 guidance raise and an expanded manufacturing agreement for AI chip production. Technical indicators presented a mixed picture, with short-term bullish trends indicated by moving averages, but recent sharp declines and oversold conditions noted by RSI and Bollinger Bands.
SMTC news & sentiment
News coverage highlighted a strategic focus on data center growth and AI infrastructure, bolstered by a recent guidance raise and expanded manufacturing agreements. Analyst sentiment showed a positive shift, with upgrades noted in the financial press.
SMTC technical picture
The 10-day EMA trended above the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, though the price recently fell below the 50-day SMA. Momentum indicators like RSI and MFI approached oversold levels, while MACD showed bearish momentum. The price traded below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating oversold conditions.
Fundamentals
The company reported strong year-over-year quarterly revenue growth and a healthy trailing twelve months (TTM) profit margin. Its valuation metrics, including P/E ratios, were noted alongside its market capitalization and debt levels.
Factors discussed — upside
- Year-over-year quarterly revenue growth of 32.7%
- TTM profit margin of 13.1%
- Raised Q3 guidance for revenue and adjusted EPS
- Expanded manufacturing agreement for AI chip production
- Positive trend over a 91-day period
Factors discussed — risks
- Price is 12.8% below the 50-day SMA
- Sharp decline in the past month (-27.0% 7-day change, -18.4% 30-day change)
- RSI approaching oversold territory (34.35)
- Low MFI (27.38) indicating weak buying pressure
- MACD below zero and trending downwards
- AI-driven data center growth
- Financial performance
- Technical indicators
- Guidance and manufacturing agreements
Summary updated .
SMTC technical indicators
Common technical indicators for SMTC, computed from its daily closing prices.
| Indicator | Value | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| 50-day simple moving average | 156.80 | Price below |
| 10-day exponential moving average | 165.24 | Price below |
| Relative strength index (14-day) | 34.35 | Neutral |
| MACD line (12/26/9) | -0.9236 | Below its signal line |
| Bollinger bands (20-day, 2σ) | 145.84 – 207.50 | Price below the lower band |
Analyses
Recent SMTC.US analyses are locked — sign in to read them or generate a fresh one.
Locked
Unlock in the library — 1 newer report
Sign in to unlock the 2026-10-18 SMTC.US analysis
Get the verdict — free
Frequently asked questions
- What is the bull case for Semtech Corporation?
- Recent analyses highlighted year-over-year quarterly revenue growth of 32.7% and a TTM profit margin of 13.1%. The company's Q3 guidance raise and an expanded manufacturing agreement for AI chip production were noted as positive developments.
- What are the risks for Semtech Corporation?
- The analyses noted that the price is currently 12.8% below its 50-day SMA, following a sharp decline in the past month with a -27.0% 7-day change. Technical indicators like RSI and MFI are approaching oversold territory, suggesting weak buying pressure and potential for a rebound.
- Is Semtech Corporation bullish or bearish?
- Recent AI analyses of Semtech Corporation examined factors on both sides. Discussed upside: Recent analyses highlighted year-over-year quarterly revenue growth of 32.7% and a TTM profit margin of 13.1%. The company's Q3 guidance raise and an expanded manufacturing agreement for AI chip production were noted as positive developments. Discussed risks: The analyses noted that the price is currently 12.8% below its 50-day SMA, following a sharp decline in the past month with a -27.0% 7-day change. Technical indicators like RSI and MFI are approaching oversold territory, suggesting weak buying pressure and potential for a rebound. These are descriptive observations, not a recommendation.
- What is the latest sentiment on Semtech Corporation?
- News coverage highlighted a strategic focus on data center growth and AI infrastructure, bolstered by a recent guidance raise and expanded manufacturing agreements. Analyst sentiment showed a positive shift, with upgrades noted in the financial press.
- How does Market Scanner analyse Semtech Corporation?
- Every analysis of Semtech Corporation runs the same five stages: four analysts read the market independently, a bull and a bear debate what they found, one agent turns the ruling into a position, three risk perspectives stress-test it, and a final agent writes the report. Market Scanner publishes what each stage does, with figures computed from the analyses on the platform rather than written in by hand.Read the methodology
What is the bull case for Semtech Corporation?
Recent analyses highlighted year-over-year quarterly revenue growth of 32.7% and a TTM profit margin of 13.1%. The company's Q3 guidance raise and an expanded manufacturing agreement for AI chip production were noted as positive developments.
What are the risks for Semtech Corporation?
The analyses noted that the price is currently 12.8% below its 50-day SMA, following a sharp decline in the past month with a -27.0% 7-day change. Technical indicators like RSI and MFI are approaching oversold territory, suggesting weak buying pressure and potential for a rebound.
Is Semtech Corporation bullish or bearish?
Recent AI analyses of Semtech Corporation examined factors on both sides. Discussed upside: Recent analyses highlighted year-over-year quarterly revenue growth of 32.7% and a TTM profit margin of 13.1%. The company's Q3 guidance raise and an expanded manufacturing agreement for AI chip production were noted as positive developments. Discussed risks: The analyses noted that the price is currently 12.8% below its 50-day SMA, following a sharp decline in the past month with a -27.0% 7-day change. Technical indicators like RSI and MFI are approaching oversold territory, suggesting weak buying pressure and potential for a rebound. These are descriptive observations, not a recommendation.
What is the latest sentiment on Semtech Corporation?
News coverage highlighted a strategic focus on data center growth and AI infrastructure, bolstered by a recent guidance raise and expanded manufacturing agreements. Analyst sentiment showed a positive shift, with upgrades noted in the financial press.
How does Market Scanner analyse Semtech Corporation?
Every analysis of Semtech Corporation runs the same five stages: four analysts read the market independently, a bull and a bear debate what they found, one agent turns the ruling into a position, three risk perspectives stress-test it, and a final agent writes the report. Market Scanner publishes what each stage does, with figures computed from the analyses on the platform rather than written in by hand.
Read the methodology- Bundles used
- gemini-low-v2
Run a fresh SMTC.US analysis
Configure the ticker, model bundle and debate depth here — you only sign in at the end, and everything you picked comes with you.